The Federal Emergency Management Agency would have enough money to respond to still impacting large swaths of the U.S. even if begins at midnight Friday, experts and former FEMA officials said, despite Trump administration warnings to the contrary.
FEMA would have about $7 billion to $8 billion in its Disaster Relief Fund, even if the money Congress appropriated for the fund in the November spending bill that ended were to expire Friday at midnight, according to two people familiar with the matter. They spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss FEMA funding with the media.
Experts said the remaining balance should be enough to limit impacts on the winter storm response, at least in the short term.
鈥淭hey have enough money for winter storm recovery and anything else likely to come up in the next few weeks,” said Sarah Labowitz, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and author of the Disaster Dollar Database, which tracks federal disaster spending.
FEMA falls under the Department of Homeland Security, one of several departments whose funding for fiscal year 2026 depends on the Senate passing a spending package that the House already approved. After federal immigration officers on Saturday, some on how immigration enforcement is conducted in any DHS funding bill, a stand that raises the prospect of a partial by the end of the week.
Trump administration officials have cited the storm and FEMA鈥檚 response to it as a reason to avoid a shutdown.
鈥淲e are in the midst of the winter storm that took place over the weekend, and many Americans are still being impacted by that, so we absolutely do not want to see that funding lapse,鈥� White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters Monday.
DHS did not respond to requests for comment.
States still assessing winter storm impacts
The Disaster Relief Fund pays for FEMA’s disaster response and recovery efforts and the staffers who work on them. That work can continue unless the fund is in danger of running out, at which point the agency begins prioritizing the most urgent missions.
FEMA is supporting state-led responses to last weekend鈥檚 gigantic winter storm, which left across multiple states without power and is tied to at least 80 deaths.
President Donald Trump, a Republican, approved emergency declarations for 12 states, unlocking federal support for emergency measures and debris removal. The agency positioned food, water and other supplies across multiple states and is coordinating federal help from other agencies like the U.S. Forest Service for clearing fallen trees from roads and the Army Corps of Engineers for connecting generators at critical facilities like warming centers and hospitals.
It鈥檚 unclear how many states if any will request major disaster declarations after they assess damage, which can help pay for repairs to critical infrastructure and financial assistance for impacted households through the Disaster Relief Fund.
鈥淭he winter storm at this time is well within the capability of local communities and states,鈥� said Michael Coen, former FEMA chief of staff in the Democratic Obama and Biden administrations.
The timing of the potential shutdown also helps ease concerns over FEMA鈥檚 coffers. 鈥淲e鈥檙e a bit of a ways off from wildfire season and hurricane season, so I don鈥檛 see a huge impact in the short run in terms of FEMA operations,鈥� said Noah Patton, director of disaster recovery at the National Low Income Housing Coalition.
If a partial government shutdown does occur, some FEMA operations not funded by the Disaster Relief Fund, like the ability to write or renew , would again pause as they did during last year鈥檚 43-day shutdown. Some essential employees would work unpaid.
A drawn-out shutdown could put more pressure on the Disaster Relief Fund, especially if FEMA must respond to new disasters, and could result in a slowdown of reimbursements for past disasters. Several experts pointed out that those reimbursements have already lagged due to a DHS policy that expenditures of $100,000 or more be personally approved by Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem.
The spending bill now before the Senate would give the Disaster Relief Fund more than $26 billion, as well as nearly $4 billion for various FEMA emergency preparedness and security grants.
Mixed messages on FEMA as shutdown looms
Trump officials’ warnings about FEMA’s ability to help states come when the administration鈥檚 own support for the agency is in question. Trump has repeatedly floated the idea of and often calls for states to take on more responsibility for disasters.
Now, Trump officials seem to be leaning on FEMA and its critical purpose as a reason not to shut down the government.
鈥淭his funding supports national security and critical national emergency operations, including FEMA responses to a historic snowstorm that is affecting 250 million Americans,鈥� DHS Assistant Secretary Tricia McLaughlin told Fox News on Tuesday.
The greater impacts to FEMA are not from a potential partial shutdown, Coen said, but from Trump鈥檚 own policies.
鈥淭he administration has been dismantling FEMA over the last year,鈥� he said. 鈥淯sing the agency as a justification for congressional action is laughable.鈥�
Despite saying he wants to overhaul FEMA, Trump has not articulated a vision for those changes. The December release of was abruptly canceled and has not been rescheduled.
Meanwhile, several Trump administration policies have had significant consequences for the agency and the states, tribes and territories it supports, including and .
Language in the proposed spending bill aims to rein in some of those actions, limiting FEMA鈥檚 ability to pause grants and trainings and requiring the agency to publicly report the status of its reimbursements to states for declared disasters.
Labowitz said some of the Trump administration’s policies contributed to why FEMA did not run out of money last year, pointing to delays in major disaster approvals and reimbursements. 鈥淎ll last year they were slow walking spending in the DRF,鈥� Labowitz said.
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