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When Texas Republican John Cornyn became a senator, Bush was president. Will he survive Trump’s GOP?

DALLAS (AP) 鈥 Sen. stood in the shadow of for a campaign event, but the Texas Republican didn鈥檛 offer the kind of diatribe about illegal immigration that stokes his party鈥檚 core and fueled Donald Trump鈥檚 rise to the White House.

Instead, Cornyn, in his courtly Houston drawl, politely thanked Trump for billions in federal dollars to reimburse Texans for work on the wall, praising 鈥渢he president of the United States, to whom I am very grateful.鈥

Cornyn’s characteristic calm and measured comments betrayed the urgency of the moment for the four-term senator. He’s facing against two Republicans who claim closer ties to Trump and his MAGA movement and tend more toward fiery rhetoric. Now, Cornyn could become the first Republican Texas senator to lose renomination in a race that may reflect in their elected officials 鈥 and what it takes to survive in Trump鈥檚 Republican Party.

Some say the 73-year-old former Texas Supreme Court justice represents a bygone era in the GOP. Still, Cornyn, supporters and the Senate鈥檚 Republican leadership are fighting aggressively for an edge in the March 3 primary. They have spent tens of millions of dollars, much of it against his opponents, Attorney Gen. and Rep. 鈥 both self-styled Trump Republicans.

鈥淲e鈥檝e got enough performance artists here in Washington,鈥 Cornyn told The Associated Press, 鈥減eople who think serving as a representative in the world鈥檚 most distinguished representative body 鈥 that what qualifies them 鈥 is they are loud, they are active on social media and they get a lot of attention.鈥

3-way race could lead to runoff

Paxton entered the race in April, having emerged from legal troubles that had shadowed his political rise, including beating on corruption charges and to end a long-running securities fraud case.

The three-term attorney general has portrayed the investigations against him as persecution by the political establishment, much like Trump has. He contends Cornyn has 鈥渃ompletely lost touch with Texas.鈥

Hunt is still working to raise his profile in Texas. The two-term House member often touts his early endorsement of Trump’s 2024 comeback campaign.

Of Cornyn, Hunt recently said, 鈥淗is moment has passed.鈥

Hunt’s entry in the race last fall made it more likely that no candidate will win at least 50% of the primary vote, sending the top two finishers to a May runoff. The nominee would face the winner of the Democratic primary between Rep. and state Rep. .

Mike Fleming, an 80-year-old retired sales manager who attended a recent Hunt campaign event, said Cornyn is a good man but has spent 鈥渁 lot of his time trying to run for head of the Senate.鈥 Cornyn unsuccessfully ran for Senate majority leader after the 2024 elections.

鈥淚f he was the only guy, I would vote for him,鈥 Fleming said.

Some GOP voters want 鈥榓ggressiveness鈥 over 鈥榮tatesman鈥

Cornyn and aligned super PACs have heavily outspent Paxton and Hunt, investing more than $30 million since last summer on television advertising, much of it criticizing his rivals, according to the ad-tracking service AdImpact.

Senate Republican leaders, however, have worried that Paxton, as the nominee, would be costly to defend in the general election. Cornyn’s situation is more about a shift in Republican campaign priorities and what candidates need to do to win a GOP primary.

鈥淗e plays the part of the distinguished statesman. And that鈥檚 what he鈥檚 always been,鈥 said Wayne Hamilton, a former executive director of the Texas Republican Party. 鈥淏ut anymore, you have to be very loud about the opposition. And that鈥檚 just not him.鈥

Cornyn also fights a perception among some GOP voters that he鈥檚 a moderate.

鈥淗e hasn鈥檛 been consistent in his conservative representation in his voting,鈥 said Robyn Richardson, 50, from suburban Dallas.

Cornyn has irked the GOP base at moments

Some Texas conservatives remain angry about Cornyn’s work as the GOP鈥檚 negotiator on gun restrictions in in the weeks after the shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas, where 19 students and two teachers were killed. Democrats narrowly controlled Congress and hoped to enact major changes under President Joe Biden.

The measure didn’t go as far as Democrats wanted, but the bipartisan bill was the widest-ranging passed by Congress in decades. Some Republicans wanted any bill blocked, and a week before its passage, some GOP activists booed Cornyn as he took the stage at a state convention.

Some point to Cornyn being dismissive of Trump during his 2016 campaign and before his 2024 campaign and to his dismissal of Trump’s claims of widespread election fraud after he lost to Biden in 2020. Those claims by Trump .

Cornyn was even skeptical early on about the border wall he took credit for helping finance, calling Trump 鈥渘aive鈥 in proposing it before he sealed the 2016 Republican presidential nomination. Paxton has pointed to that comment, portraying Cornyn as 鈥渙pposing the border wall.鈥

The episodes certainly weren’t helpful for Cornyn, who has worked to show Texas Republicans where he and Trump agree.

Cornyn aired ads featuring him with Border Patrol agents along the wall, promoting his support to secure $11 billion for Texans’ work on it. Another ad promoted Cornyn’s 99% support for Trump’s agenda, including his three U.S. Supreme Court nominees.

But the disagreements are small compared with the broader shift Cornyn has resisted.

Vinny Minchillo, a veteran Republican consultant in the Dallas area, referred to Cornyn as 鈥渁n old George W. Bush Republican, which is now a bad thing鈥 since Trump鈥檚 rise.

Cornyn was elected attorney general in 1998, winning when a new national conservative figure was rising out of Texas, the newly reelected Gov. George W. Bush, who was elected president two years later.

The Bush name, once a three-generation fixture in Texas politics, quietly disappeared when then-Texas Land Commissioner George P. Bush, grandson and nephew of two presidents, lost his challenge of Paxton for attorney general in 2022.

鈥淚 think there is certainly some level of John Cornyn fatigue,鈥 Minchillo said. 鈥淗e鈥檚 been on the ballot in Texas for a long, long time.鈥

Trump not expected to endorse

As of last week, Trump had endorsed dozens of Republican lawmakers in Texas. But he is not expected to endorse ahead of the Senate primary, according to people familiar with the White House thinking but who were not authorized to speak publicly.

That would leave Cornyn among only three incumbent Republican senators seeking reelection who have not received Trump’s public backing, with Maine’s Susan Collins and Louisiana’s Bill Cassidy.

Cornyn acknowledged he’s 鈥渘ot somebody who cries out for attention at every opportunity.鈥

Instead, in the final weeks of the primary campaign, he’s hoping voters consider which candidate would be the most effective at getting things done 鈥 because he believes they’ll support him if they do.

鈥淪ometimes people make the distinction between a workhorse and a show horse,鈥 he said. 鈥淎nd I鈥檓 happy to be a workhorse.鈥

鈥斺赌-

Beaumont reported from Des Moines, Iowa. Hanna reported from Topeka, Kan. Maya Sweedler contributed from Washington.

Copyright © 2026 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, written or redistributed.

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